Connectionists: Predictive Uncertainty Competition for IJCNN-2006

[gcc@cmp.uea.ac.uk]

Dear Connectionists,

   there will be a second competition at IJCNN-2006 
(http://www.wcci2006.org/) involving "predictive uncertainty in 
environmental modelling", with a special session devoted to papers 
describing the best methods.

The aim is to create regression models that provide an estimate of the 
uncertainty of their predictions, e.g. error-bars, with models being 
evaluated according to the negative log-likelihood on the test data.  
This is particularly important for environmental problems, which are 
typically rather noise, often have non-Gaussian noise processes and the 
uncertainty in predictions is useful in estimating the impacts of e.g. 
increased rainfall on flooding.

The competition has the same format as the Pascal Predictive Uncertainty 
Challenge (http://predict.kyb.tuebingen.mpg.de/), so those competing in 
the regression section of that exercise will have models they can deploy 
immediately.

The competition web site is at

http://theoval.cmp.uea.ac.uk/~gcc/competition/

Please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any questions or 
comments.

best regards

Gavin Cawley

School of Computing Sciences
University of East Anglia
Norwich NR4 7TJ, U.K.