Applying demographic regression to election results

Dougal Sutherland dsutherl at cs.cmu.edu
Fri Nov 11 10:10:43 EST 2016


Hi all,

Just wanted to pass along something that Seth, Yu-Xiang and I have been
working on this week: applying distribution regression to try to estimate
the demographics of who voted for who (and who didnt vote!). Seth wrote a
Medium post with an overview:

https://medium.com/@flaxter_85271/new-questions-new-answers-22a103ff2811#.vq3xkkrjh

We're still working on refining the analysis, especially to add uncertainty
estimates, but there's a link to an initial paper (which will be on arXiv
on Monday) in the post. Any suggestions are definitely welcome!

- Dougal
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