NOW! - Thesis Defense - July 23, 2025 - Youngseog Chung - Methods for Calibrated Uncertainty Quantification and Understanding its Utility
Jeff Schneider
jeff4 at andrew.cmu.edu
Wed Jul 23 14:28:44 EDT 2025
Hi Everyone,
This is starting right now in GHC 8102. Please come and join to hear
about UQ!
Jeff.
-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: Reminder - Thesis Defense - July 23, 2025 - Youngseog Chung -
Methods for Calibrated Uncertainty Quantification and Understanding its
Utility
Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2025 13:32:49 -0400
From: Diane L Stidle <stidle at andrew.cmu.edu>
To: ml-seminar at cs.cmu.edu <ML-SEMINAR at cs.cmu.edu>, jsnoek at google.com
*/Thesis Defense/*
Date: July 23, 2025 (Wed)
Time: 2:30pm (ET)
Place: GHC 8102 & Remote
PhD Candidate: Youngseog Chung
*
*
*Thesis Title:*
Methods for Calibrated Uncertainty Quantification and Understanding its
Utility
*
*
*Abstract:*
As machine learning models have become more capable of dealing with
complex data, they have been entrusted with an increasing array of
predictive tasks. With such growing reliance on model predictions, being
able to assess whether a given model prediction is reliable has become
equally important. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a critical role
in this context by providing a measure of confidence in a model's
predictions. In this thesis, I address the problem of UQ in machine
learning in three different stages.
The first section presents an overview of evaluation in UQ and an
open-source software which provides various utilities in evaluating,
visualizing, and recalibrating predictive uncertainty. The second
section discusses algorithms designed to produce well-calibrated
predictive uncertainties in regression models, which output a
distribution over continuous-valued outputs. The first work in this
section presents a suite of algorithms for training univariate
probabilistic regression models, and the second work discusses an
extension to the multivariate setting. The third section presents the
utilization of predictive uncertainties in the decision-making setting.
The application setting dictates how the uncertainties will be used, and
I present a collection of works which utilizes uncertainties in the
single-step decision making setting, sequential decision-making setting,
and in model-based reinforcement learning.
*
Thesis Committee:*
Jeff Schneider (Chair)
Aarti Singh
Zico Kolter
Jasper Snoek (Google Deepmind)
*
*
*Link to the draft document: *
https://youngseogchung.github.io/docs/Thesis.pdf
*Zoom meeting link:*
https://cmu.zoom.us/j/99486342780?pwd=HQOzBqHgdHLLDbbQonw0nbgV4ngvQy.1&jst=2
<https://cmu.zoom.us/j/99486342780?pwd=HQOzBqHgdHLLDbbQonw0nbgV4ngvQy.1&jst=2>
--
--
Diane Stidle
PhD Program Manager
Machine Learning Department
Carnegie Mellon University
diane at cs.cmu.edu
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