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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Friends in the ACT-R and Soar communities,</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>I am in search of data, and ask you to consider whether you
have any data of the type desired, and which you would be willing to share.</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>We have an applied research effort underway that is focused
on developing mathematical models for predictive and prescriptive training
applications. The predictive models will extrapolate from current levels
of trainee performance and known training histories, to possible future levels
of performance, assuming particular frequencies and temporal distributions of
future training opportunities (or lack thereof). The prescriptive models
will provide guidance regarding required timing and frequency of training in
order to achieve desired levels of future competence.</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>As you all are aware, human performance and learning is
considerably more regular, and therefore predictable, in the aggregate (i.e.,
sample means), and virtually all of the published data in the experimental and
cognitive psychology literature are reported at the aggregate level. Yet
we are interested in predicting future performance on single trials, at the
individual or team level. One of the challenges we face in this effort is
determining the limits of our ability to make such predictions and
prescriptions at that level of detail. To support our attempts to address
this challenge, we seek trial-by-trial data for individual subjects or teams
participating in a complex (at least fairly complex) skill acquisition study
over a time period of days to weeks (or longer). If the study(ies)
involve an intentional manipulation of the spacing of practice sessions and/or
test sessions, that's a bonus, but not critical.</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Please let me know if you have such data available that you
are willing to share.</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Regards,</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Kevin</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>-------------------------------------------------------</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>KEVIN GLUCK, PhD</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Senior Research Psychologist</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Air Force Research Laboratory</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>6030 S. Kent St</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>Mesa</span></font><font size=1 face=Arial><span
style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:Arial'>, </span></font><font size=1
face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:Arial'>AZ</span></font><font
size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:Arial'> </span></font><font
size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:Arial'>85212-6061</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>P: 480-988-6561 x-677; DSN 474-6677</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>F: 480-988-2230; DSN 474-6688</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>C: 480-229-4569</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'> </span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=1 face=Arial><span style='font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>PALM Webpage: <a
href="http://www.mesa.afmc.af.mil/html/palmlab.htm">http://www.mesa.afmc.af.mil/html/palmlab.htm</a></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'> </span></font></p>
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